US Oil to Gas Ratio

  • Before shale took off oil to gas prices averaged 8 to 1 – close to their energy equivalence ratio.
  • Since 2013 this ratio has averaged 20 to 1.
  • Outside of North America the ratio is 3 to 1.
  • In other words, US gas is priced at an energy-equivalent discount of 56% to world oil and a 77% discount to world gas. In our 35 years investing in global energy markets, we have never seen such a wide disparity.
  • Source (including arguments on why it might revert).
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