Interesting to see cracks form in cloud computing paradigm.
In the article a16z make a stark case for repatriating workloads – “We show (using relatively conservative assumptions!) that across 50 of the top public software companies currently utilizing cloud infrastructure, an estimated $100B of market value is being lost among them due to cloud impact on margins — relative to running the infrastructure themselves.”
“If you’re operating at scale, the cost of cloud can at least double your infrastructure bill.” … “You’re crazy if you don’t start in the cloud; you’re crazy if you stay on it.“
Computing paradigms do move in cycles but the analysis is missing things like flexibility (cloud is better at flexing workloads up and down) and capital intensity of businesses being a driver of valuation.