Knowing Things is Hard

  • A dictionary of how hard it is to get true knowledge – biases and more.
  • FFriedman’s Law of Anecdotes (2010) “Distrust any historical anecdote good enough to have survived on its literary merit”
  • BBrandolini’s Law, the Bullshit Asymmetry Principle (2013): “The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it.”
  • C – … Predictions, like advice, often tell you more about the person giving them than about the world.
  • DDefensiveness: its embarrassing to be wrong in public, so once you have publicly committed to a position its hard to change your mind. 
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