Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity

  • Harvard tracks the short-term outlook for home improvement spend.
  • The indicator, measured as an annual rate-of-change of its components, is designed to project the annual rate of change in spending for the current quarter and subsequent four quarters, and is intended to help identify future turning points in the business cycle of the home improvement and repair industry.
  • Right now a bottom is seen in Q3 2024. The trajectory is a big upgrade on their previous outlook.
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