Online is Taking Over Pt II

  • Eye opening stat from Domino’s Pizza courtesy of The Transcript.
  • “There was a trend toward digital ordering pre-pandemic, and that significantly accelerated during the pandemic. I don’t expect customers to go back to calling on the phone, I expect digital ordering to continue to grow post-pandemic. And I feel that we are very well-positioned in that space today with 75% of our sales in the U.S. digital as we sit here today

Asset Light

  • Suddenly, “size,” “footprint” and “incumbency” came to be understood as an expensive legacy rather than a competitive advantage. Investors wanted companies that were smarter instead of larger, as reflected in the new patois of sell-side flipbooks which now marketed businesses as “agile,” “disruptive,” “nimble” and – especially – “asset light”.
  • Nice chart demonstrating this.

Misleading Chart – Intangible Asset Edition

  • First Snippet Blog article points the finger at the pictured chart.
  • The chart depicts the rise of intangible assets in firm value described as a “second industrial revolution”, burying with it traditional analysis, accounting, value investing and lending support to ESG.
  • By digging into the definition and associated formula, the article argues this chart is in fact just showing the rise in valuation across firms as measured by Price to Tangible Book.
  • By framing the problem in the first way one assumes a single explanation for the rise – intangible assets, itself an ambiguous word, when the intellectually honest way should be to frame it in the second way, which leaves the question open.

Snippet Blog

  • Snippet Finance is launching a blog.
  • As you know Snippet is a curation of the most interesting snippets on finance, investing and macroeconomics.
  • In the Snippet Blog I will periodically write longer articles on a range of financial topics and feature them on the main page.
  • You can find the blog in the top menu and in the Categories section.
  • Enjoy!

Active Concentrated Portfolios

  • A thought-provoking piece (first one in the link) arguing against concentrated equity portfolios – the orthodoxy of the day.
  • Concentrated portfolios are built on the idea of “analytical certainty” which lends itself easily to “overconfidence” and “overweighting hubris”
  • Institutions that hold several such concentrated portfolios, thereby diversifying, might find instead they suffer from other forms of correlation – in terms of stock size (large cap) and style (quality or growth).
  • They will also find that the higher fees charged by concentrated active portfolios add up and don’t average down.
  • Most interestingly concentration “underweights luck” – that term most fund managers have pushed deep into their subconscious.

Online Taking Over

  • 40% of new (straight) relationships in the USA started online.
  • Due to Covid this is likely higher today than in 2017 where the data ends.
  • “The intensity with which singles are swiping and chatting is visible across all Match Group dating apps, which include Tinder, OKCupid, Match.com, Hinge and Plenty of Fish. Amarnath Thombre, the chief executive of Match Group Americas, said that messages were up 30 to 40 percent on most of the company’s apps compared with the same time last year.
  • Source.

Sugar

  • Interesting long read on the quest to chemically redesign sugar.
  • In 1880 the average American would have lived and died never having encountered a single manufactured candy. Today the average American ingests more than nineteen teaspoons added sugar every day.
  • Despite a turn in public opinion against sugar, alternatives don’t work – “none of sugar’s artificial replacements offer anything close to the same range of functionality. Sucrose reduces ice-crystal formation in ice cream; it adds crispness to baked goods, volume to dough, and a mouth-filling viscosity to drinks; it improves emulsion stability in dressings, reduces grittiness in chocolate, and even increases shelf life.
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