London House Prices

  • Rightmove report out for February on UK and London house prices.
  • London’s recovery continues with new-year momentum pushing up prices and sales numbers, and finally encouraging more sellers to come to market … Better market encourages new sellers, with the 1.6% increase in the number of newly marketed properties being the first rise compared to the prior year for 16 months.”

Franchises in the US

  • A great article full of tons of information on franchises.
  • This chart shows the fee for opening a franchise.
  • Notice how stand out Chick-fil-A is. This is because they pay for all the opening costs.
  • In return Chick-fil-A charges 15% royalty (vs. typical 4%-8%) and takes 50% of net profit.
  • Arguably this is a different model.

Bond ETF

  • We have previously written about the risks building form the rising popularity of bond ETFs.
  • This article argues the opposite – more ETFs = more trading in bonds = liquidity.
  • We take issue with these arguments. An inspection of two bond etf prices shows you that they have mostly marched upwards (e.g. LQD, VCIT).
  • As ETFs go up they create more units and are willing buyers in bond markets. This of course creates liquidity.
  • The main issue will be on the downside – if something goes wrong, ETFs, en masse as they follow pre-set rules, will sell and there won’t be anyone on the other side.

The Browser

  • As an investor one needs to read broadly.
  • One of the best resources out there is The Browser.
  • They curate all the interesting articles on the internet on a huge range of topics and send it in a daily email.
  • They would know – their editor reads 1,000 per day!
  • It isn’t free but the best money you will spend.
  • Use Pocket to save them to read later.

Disney

  • This is a chart of the top app downloads in US. Check out Disney.
  • The launch of Disney+ in mid-November was unprecedented in the U.S. Its 31 million downloads in Q4 2019 was more than double the total for the next closest app, TikTok.” 
  • It was still top despite launching Nov 12 – some way into the quarter.
  • Source: Sensor Tower (lots of good app stats inside report).
  • h/t The Big Picture.

Germany

  • This is a really good article on Germany. h/t The Browser.
  • It really gets to the crux of the country’s success.
  • In 1993 they ran a $20bn deficit and now that is a surplus of over $200bn (inflation adjusted).
  • Worth a read for any economist and puts into perspective the trade-war going on right now.
  • The takeaway — from this whole 6,000 word essay — is that Germany has done insanely well for itself since the creation and adoption of the Euro and the European Single Market by pursuing a strategy of Export-driven Industrial production that is considered impossible in any other developed, high-GDP, high-population, high-wage-paying nation.
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