Tools 8th May '25 Retail Sales Nowcast The Chicago Fed Advance Retail Trade Summary (CARTS) tracks the U.S. Census Bureau’s Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) on a weekly basis, providing an early snapshot of national retail spending. It is released twice a month. It uses credit card and other high-frequency alternative data to put together a forecast. The result is a very accurate prediction of retail sales (ex auto). Currently, April is predicted to be weak (no consensus estimates yet). Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)