Intangible Value

  • We covered the topic of the misuse of intangibles by some participants in our innugral blog post.
  • This is an interesting academic paper that corrects this by appreciating that the question is one of developing better valuation metrics.
  • The authors improve on the classic value factor by adding intangible assets (based on cumulative SG&A spending) – creating a new and better performing valuation measure.

Asset Light

  • Suddenly, “size,” “footprint” and “incumbency” came to be understood as an expensive legacy rather than a competitive advantage. Investors wanted companies that were smarter instead of larger, as reflected in the new patois of sell-side flipbooks which now marketed businesses as “agile,” “disruptive,” “nimble” and – especially – “asset light”.
  • Nice chart demonstrating this.

Listed Companies in the US

  • The number of publicly listed companies in the US has fallen since the mid-1990s.
  • This chart captures this decline in the total number of listed stocks, including additions and subtractions each year from 1976 to 2019.
  • There are one-half as many public companies as there were in 1996 and three-quarters as many as there were in 1976. The Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, launched in 1974 to reflect the complete U.S. equity market, had 3,473 stocks as of December 31, 2019.
  • Source.

Public to Private Equity

  • Over the past quarter century there has been a marked shift in U.S. equities from public markets to private markets controlled by buyout and venture capital firms. This change has had reverberations for asset managers, investors, executives, and policy makers.
  • A phenomenal and must read note from Mauboussin.

Institutions Took Over

  • “In 1970, individuals held roughly 75 percent of public equities and the institutional investment management industry was nascent”
  • This has moved steadily downwards as institutions took over.
  • We estimate that the number of chartered financial analyst (CFA) charterholders per public company increased from roughly 1 in 1976 to 27 in 2019.
  • Source.

Pension Funds

  • Interesting chart showing the asset allocation of pension fund assets and the split between defined contribution and defined benefit in different countries.
  • The UK really stands out.
  • For the top 7 countries (P7) the allocation to equities has been reduced dramatically in favour of “other assets” since 1999.
  • Defined contribution has also crossed 50% for the first time last year.
  • Source.
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