“Over the past quarter century there has been a marked shift in U.S. equities from public markets to private markets controlled by buyout and venture capital firms. This change has had reverberations for asset managers, investors, executives, and policy makers.“
For Pensions – “There is a clear sign of a reduced home bias in equities, as the weight of domestic equities has fallen, on average, from 68.6% in 1999 to 39.7% in 2019.”
Interesting chart showing the asset allocation of pension fund assets and the split between defined contribution and defined benefit in different countries.
The UK really stands out.
For the top 7 countries (P7) the allocation to equities has been reduced dramatically in favour of “other assets” since 1999.
Defined contribution has also crossed 50% for the first time last year.
Alta Fox have done a massive analysis of all the best performing stocks over the last five years.
Overall – they find that financially healthy companies with advantageous business positioning tend to do better.
Acquisitions are a feature of these top performing stocks (perhaps because of the five year time frame).
The analysis is a bit too micro cap focussed and only concentrates on Australia, Europe and North America and excludes some sectors (e.g. materials), but is nonetheless useful.
China has over time displaced the weight of vulnerable economies in the Emerging Markets (EM) Index, the latter itself falling due to improving macroeconomic fundamentals.
* Vulnerable economies are defined as countries with poor external balances and reliant on foreign savings. Vulnerable countries are South Africa, Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Egypt, and Pakistan.
Sourced from GMO, read on for more reasons to own EM.
The Department of Labor (DOL) has proposed a rule that might ban the ability of corporate sponsored retirement accounts (e.g. 401(k)s) from holding ESG Funds.
“Private employer-sponsored retirement plans are not vehicles for furthering social goals or policy objectives that are not in the financial interest of the plan,” said Secretary of Labor Eugene Scalia. “Rather, ERISA plans should be managed with unwavering focus on a single, very important social goal: providing for the retirement security of American workers.”
Comovement represents the absolute number of stocks in the S&P 500 which move on the same direction on any day (either up or down).
If half the stocks move up and half move down, comovement would equal zero. If 100% of the stocks move up, comovement would slightly exceed 500 (there are currently 505 stocks in the S&P 500).
Holding volatility relatively constant the rise of index funds has led to a marked increase in the comovement of stocks since the 1990s.
This along with volatility selling and illiquidity creates a market structure that has serious implications for investing.
