Christmas Competition 2020

  • Test your investing skill and win a prize!
  • The inaugural Snippet Finance Christmas competition is live.
  • Think you can predict the stock market? Think you know which stocks will outperform? Give it a shot.
  • The overall winner gets a bottle of champagne. The overall loser gets a wooden spoon.
  • Get your colleagues/friends involved – simply enter your company name and we will tell you how you ranked within your group.
  • Enter the competition HERE.

Snippet Blog

  • Snippet Finance is launching a blog.
  • As you know Snippet is a curation of the most interesting snippets on finance, investing and macroeconomics.
  • In the Snippet Blog I will periodically write longer articles on a range of financial topics and feature them on the main page.
  • You can find the blog in the top menu and in the Categories section.
  • Enjoy!

Best Performing Stocks

  • Alta Fox have done a massive analysis of all the best performing stocks over the last five years.
  • Overall – they find that financially healthy companies with advantageous business positioning tend to do better.
  • Acquisitions are a feature of these top performing stocks (perhaps because of the five year time frame).
  • The analysis is a bit too micro cap focussed and only concentrates on Australia, Europe and North America and excludes some sectors (e.g. materials), but is nonetheless useful.

Hedge Fund Letters

  • Q2 letters from prominent hedge funds were out early August.
  • Three always worth reading:
  • Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital Q2 Letter – discussing his long inflation bet, Wirecard fraud and Tesla.
  • Loeb’s Third Point Capital Q2 Letter – where he discusses adjusting his process/strategy towards more quality compounders – with rationale for recent purchases (BABA, JD, AMZN etc) supporting this.
  • Klarman’s Baupost Group Q2 Letter – where he discusses his eight impacts of the pandemic on the future.

The Transcript

  • The Transcript – is a very good service.
  • They comb company transcripts for interesting quotes.
  • A few from the latest one.
  • I’ve been so impressed with the Disney+ execution. Over 20 years of watching different businesses, incumbents, like Blockbuster and Walmart and all these companies, I’ve never seen such a good execution of the incumbent learning the new way and mastering it. And then to have them achieve over 50 million in six months, it’s stunning. So to see both the execution and the numbers line up, my hats off to them.” Netflix CEO Reed Hastings
  • “Thus far through April, our in-patient admissions are running about 30% below the prior year. Our emergency room visits are running about 50% below prior year as our in-patient surgeries. Our hospital based outpatient surgeries are running about 70% below our prior year as most elective procedures have been deferred. We have started to see these volume declines stabilize over the past week.” HCA CFO Bill Rutherford
  • There hasn’t been enough debate about ability to make billions of doses. And for the record, we have 10,000 people producing over a billion doses right now of our own vaccine portfolio. This is not easy to do.  Sanofi CEO Paul Hudson

Covid Chart

  • A good chart from JP Morgan – Eye on the Market.
  • Eye on the Market itself is a great resource especially during the outbreak. Full of high frequency economic indicators.
  • This chart shows COVID infection trends (the colours) for each country but charted by percentage of world GDP.
  • One month ago nearly 50% of global GDP saw a rising COVID outbreak.
  • The picture is a lot better now as the red/orange are receding.
  • It turned in late March – around the time the market bottomed.

Third Point Q1 2020

  • Q1 letters in general are going to be very interesting to read.
  • Here is the latest letter for Q1 2020 from Third Point Capital.
  • Loeb’s fund is -16% in Q1.
  • They seem to have moved positions around a lot in March – mainly buying corporate credit exposure.
  • Lots of interesting stuff inside including a rant about socialising credit via Fed intervention.

Tracking Retail Money

  • Robinhood is the popular (read free) though glitchy trading app.
  • Robintrack is a service that tracks the number of Robinhood users that hold a particular stock over time against the share price.
  • Pictured below are the shares of Carnival Cruises, which have collapsed due to coronavirus. Yet retail investors have been buying.
  • Something similar but less informative exists for the UK – Top of the Stocks at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Investment quotes

  • Great list of famous investment quotes.
  • Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.Paul Samuelson.
  • If you don’t know who you are, this is an expensive place to find out.Adam Smith.
  • Fear incites human action far more urgently than does the impressive weight of historical evidence.Jeremy Siegel.

The Feynman Technique for Learning

  • With a lot of spare time many are turning to learning new things.
  • This brings to mind the Feynman Technique for learning.
  • Four steps:
  • Choose a concept you want to learn about.
  • Pretend you are teaching it to a student in grade 6.
  • Identify gaps in your explanation;  Go back to the source material, to better understand it.
  • Review and simplify (optional).
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