China is not Shifting Away from the Dollar

  • The world of foreign exchange reserves is full of false narratives and complex data.
  • Here, Brad Setser, uses international banking sleuthing to show that China has not switched its reserves away from dollars.
  • Bottom line: the only interesting evolution in China’s reserves in the past six years has been the shift into Agencies. That has resulted in a small reduction in China’s Treasury holdings – but it also shows that it is a mistake to equate a reduction in China’s Treasury holdings with a reduction in the share of China’s reserves held in U.S. bonds or the U.S. dollar.
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