Inflation Inequality

  • UK latest (April) headline inflation came in at 9%.
  • Until April inflation was hitting all households the same.
  • April was different, as Ofgem raised the energy price cap by 54%, leading to a 70% YoY increase in gas/electricity costs.
  • As poorer households spend more of their budget on energy, inflation is starting to tilt towards hitting them harder.
  • Ofgem is communicating a further rise of £800 for the price tariff cap in October, so the situation could look a lot worse.
  • Analysis suggests that the poorest households may face average inflation rates of as high as 14%, compared to 8% for the richest households.
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