Fuel Economy and CO2 Trends

  • In model year 2022, the average estimated real-world CO2 emission rate for all new vehicles fell by 10 g/mi to 337 g/mi, the lowest ever measured. Real-world fuel economy increased by 0.6 mpg, to a record high 26.0 mpg.1 This is the largest single year improvement in CO2 emission rates and fuel economy in nine years.
  • 2023 model year is already showing improvement on this.
  • The long-term trend is encouraging (see chart) all while horsepower is up 88% since 1975 (see page 27).
  • Loads more excellent data from 2023 EPA Automotive Trends Report.

EVs Having Issues

  • Something not so good is going on in EV land – and it isn’t aggressive Chinese competition.
  • Hertz for one has decided to dump 20,000 EVs citing hidden costs, especially of accidents.
  • “Expenses related to collision and damage, primarily associated with EVs, remained high in the quarter, thereby supporting the Company’s decision to initiate the material reduction in the EV fleet.
  • Then there is this chart showing EVs are taking longer to sell.

Trends to Watch from Expert Transcripts

  • Alpha Sense Expert Insights uses its expert database to compile ten trends to watch.
  • It’s a fairly interesting list and many trends are continuations from last year.
  • You can grab two free weeks of access to the whole database of transcripts with your work email address for free here (see disclaimer).

Desalination Costs

  • Seems like a big deal.
  • The chart shows how the cost of desalination has fallen over the long term. This has been driven by technological advances, larger plants translating into greater economies of scale, and project development choices such as colocation of desalination plants with power plants.
  • Source.
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